For Some Recent Graduates, the A.I. Job Apocalypse May Already Be Here - The New York Times


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Key Findings

The article discusses the impact of AI on recent college graduates' job prospects. It highlights rising unemployment among new graduates, particularly in technical fields. Economists and corporate executives express concern over AI's role in displacing entry-level jobs.

AI's Impact on Employment

The rapid advancement of AI is automating tasks previously performed by entry-level workers, resulting in job displacement. Some companies are adopting "AI-first" strategies, prioritizing AI solutions over human hires.

Anecdotal Evidence

Examples cited include a tech company ceasing hiring below a mid-level software engineer role due to AI capabilities and another start-up replacing a 75-person team with a single data scientist thanks to AI advancements.

Economic Data

Unemployment for recent college graduates has surged to 5.8 percent, with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York noting a significant deterioration in their employment situation. Unemployment is heavily concentrated in fields experiencing rapid AI development.

Overall Conclusion

The article concludes that the economic data only shows a portion of the problem, suggesting AI's impact on entry-level jobs is far more extensive than currently reflected in statistics.

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This month, millions of young people will graduate from college and look for work in industries that have little use for their skills, view them as expensive and expendable, and are rapidly phasing out their jobs in favor of artificial intelligence.

That is the troubling conclusion of my conversations over the past several months with economists, corporate executives and young job-seekers, many of whom pointed to an emerging crisis for entry-level workers that appears to be fueled, at least in part, by rapid advances in A.I. capabilities.

You can see hints of this in the economic data. Unemployment for recent college graduates has jumped to an unusually high 5.8 percent in recent months, and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York recently warned that the employment situation for these workers had “deteriorated noticeably.” Oxford Economics, a research firm that studies labor markets, found that unemployment for recent graduates was heavily concentrated in technical fields like finance and computer science, where A.I. has made faster gains.

“There are signs that entry-level positions are being displaced by artificial intelligence at higher rates,” the firm wrote in a recent report.

But I’m convinced that what’s showing up in the economic data is only the tip of the iceberg. In interview after interview, I’m hearing that firms are making rapid progress toward automating entry-level work, and that A.I. companies are racing to build “virtual workers” that can replace junior employees at a fraction of the cost. Corporate attitudes toward automation are changing, too — some firms have encouraged managers to become “A.I.-first,” testing whether a given task can be done by A.I. before hiring a human to do it.

One tech executive recently told me his company had stopped hiring anything below an L5 software engineer — a midlevel title typically given to programmers with three to seven years of experience — because lower-level tasks could now be done by A.I. coding tools. Another told me that his start-up now employed a single data scientist to do the kinds of tasks that required a team of 75 people at his previous company.

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