Nate Silver Makes Shocking Prediction for Dems’ 2028 Nominee


AI Summary Hide AI Generated Summary

Key Prediction: AOC for 2028

Political analyst Nate Silver, along with Galen Druke, predicts Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) as the most likely Democratic presidential nominee in 2028. This prediction is based on several factors.

Factors Supporting the Prediction

  • High Favorability Ratings: AOC possesses high favorability ratings among Democrats, second only to Vice President Kamala Harris, according to a recent Yale University poll.
  • Strong Support Base: AOC enjoys fervent support within the Democratic Party.
  • Active Political Engagement: Her "Fighting Oligarchy Tour" with Senator Bernie Sanders is seen as a potential indicator of presidential aspirations.

Silver's Past Accuracy

While Silver's past prediction of Kamala Harris winning the 2024 election proved incorrect, he accurately predicted a "clean sweep" victory for the winning candidate in the swing states.

Uncertainty Remains

It's important to note that Silver himself acknowledges AOC's candidacy is not certain, as she hasn't officially announced her intentions to run.

Sign in to unlock more AI features Sign in with Google
We located an Open Access version of this article, legally shared by the author or publisher. Open It
Political analyst Nate Silver predicts Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the most likely candidate to top the 2028 Democratic presidential ticket. In a video and newsletter published to his Silver Bulletin Substack Thursday, Silver, along with former FiveThirtyEight podcast host Galen Druke, both landed on AOC.“I think there’s a lot of points in her favor at this very moment,” Druke said, pointing to a recent Yale University poll that found AOC to have one of the highest favorability ratings among Democrats, second only to former Vice President Kamala Harris. “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has broad appeal across the Democratic Party.”Silver admitted he wasn't sure AOC would run. Krista Kennell/Patrick McMullan via Getty Images “I think equally important is the fact that she has very fervent support,” Druke continued. “I think a lot of people are gonna run in 2028 and it’s going to be a contest for attention and getting those sort of people who might be in your boat to turn out and stay with you through thick and thin.”Silver agreed with “everything” Druke had to say, but did note that AOC isn’t “sure to run.” Druke pointed to AOC’s “Fighting Oligarchy Tour” with Sen. Bernie Sanders as an indicator that she may be looking to run for presidency in response.“I think she’s going to run,” Druke said. “If you’ve been following her moves in terms of her ‘Fight Oligarchy’ tour, in terms of the kind of content she’s putting out on social media.”Silver is a veteran election and poll analyst. Although he missed the mark and predicted Harris to win the 2024 presidential race, Silver accurately anticipated that the winning candidate would have a “clean sweep” and win each swing state on election night.

🧠 Pro Tip

Skip the extension — just come straight here.

We’ve built a fast, permanent tool you can bookmark and use anytime.

Go To Paywall Unblock Tool
Sign up for a free account and get the following:
  • Save articles and sync them across your devices
  • Get a digest of the latest premium articles in your inbox twice a week, personalized to you (Coming soon).
  • Get access to our AI features

  • Save articles to reading lists
    and access them on any device
    If you found this app useful,
    Please consider supporting us.
    Thank you!

    Save articles to reading lists
    and access them on any device
    If you found this app useful,
    Please consider supporting us.
    Thank you!