Normal text sizeLarger text sizeVery large text size
Even by his own standards, Donald Trumpâs assault on the wind industry, especially its offshore arm, has been prolonged, savage and consequential.
This week the president ordered a halt in the construction of the near-complete $US4 billion ($6 billion) Revolution Wind project, a wind farm of 114 turbines off the coast of Rhode Island that by next year would have been providing enough electricity for 350,000 homes if the developer had been allowed to finish the job.
During a cabinet meeting on Tuesday, Trump said he was trying to educate other nations about the technology he despises.
âIâm trying to have people learn about wind real fast, and I think Iâve done a good job, but not good enough because some countries are still trying,â Trump said according to a New York Times report.
He said countries were âdestroying themselvesâ with wind energy. âI hope they get back to fossil fuels.â
Like many of the presidentâs more singular political positions â such as his strong stance against low-flow shower heads â Trumpâs position in public office has traces in his private interests.
Back in 2006, Trump bought an estate north of Aberdeen in the north of Scotland with a plan to build the âworldâs greatestâ golf course, only to learn that some of the worldâs most powerful wind turbines were already slated to be built just off the shoreline.
Trump lobbied for years against the Aberdeen Bay Wind Farm, telling a Scottish parliamentary inquiry in 2012 that wind farms would damage its tourism industry. Asked to provide evidence, Trump declared: âI am considered a world-class expert in tourism. When you ask, âWhere is the expert and where is the evidence?â I say: âI am the evidence.ââ
In a 2019 speech to young conservatives, he explained of the wind industry:
âIâve studied it better than anybody I know ⌠I never understood wind. You know, I know windmills very much. Theyâre noisy. They kill the birds. You want to see a bird graveyard? Go under a windmill someday. Youâll see more birds than youâve ever seen in your life.â
Upon his re-election, Trump made it clear that his views in support of fossil fuels and against green energy â and offshore wind in particular â would be reflected in US policy.
The impact of that is now reverberating around the world.
In July, BP, which like other oil majors over recent years had been recasting itself as an âintegrated energyâ outfit, raced back to fossils. It sold off 10 of its onshore wind projects and hived off its offshore wind assets into a joint venture in what it called a âfundamental resetâ.
The shift in global sentiment driven by the Trump administration is being felt in Australia too.
Loading
Last week, the Norwegian oil and gas giant Equinor, another firm that over recent years had been adding a tint of green to its brown portfolio, announced it was pulling out of a joint venture with the Australian outfit OceaneX to develop a $10 billion wind farm off the NSW coast between Newcastle and Port Stephens.
Equinorâs abandonment of the venture, known as Novocastrian Wind, which was to have created 3000 jobs in construction, effectively killed it, to Climate Change and Energy Minister Chris Bowenâs frustration.
âEquinor is withdrawing from renewables investment around the world at the moment, which, I will be very frank with you, I find very disappointing,â he told ABC radio.
âTheyâve withdrawn from projects in Vietnam, Portugal and Spain. Theyâve cut their renewables budget from $US10 billion to $US5 billion, and weâre caught up in that, so thatâs disappointing.
âOffshore wind is facing some global international investment headwinds right at the moment, partly driven by some uncertainty out of the United States. So we are caught up in that.â
Andy Evans, one of the Australian co-owners of OceaneX, traces a direct line from Trumpâs assault on wind, and on offshore wind, in the US and increased difficulties the industry is facing in Australia.
In April, Trump forced a halt to Equinorâs Empire Wind 1 project near New York City, which was already under construction with the goal of providing the first wind energy to the cityâs grid, and eventually enough for 500,000 homes. The abrupt stop work order lasted four weeks and cost the company about $US200 million before it was abruptly lifted.
This sort of interference is having a profound impact on the industry around the world, says Evans.
âLooking at our project, [Novocastrian Wind], certainly Trumpâs role in stopping work on the entire wind [build] for a month sent a great wave of hysteria through offshore wind industry and investment. It makes it harder and more expensive to raise capital,â he says.
âThe challenge we have in Australia is that Australians are no longer investors in early-stage stuff.
âWe want everything cheaply, and we want it now. So the challenge, certainly, as a developer, if we need to raise capital, we generally have to go offshore.â
What is less clear, though, is whether a slowdown in the nascent offshore wind industry in Australia will have a material impact on the governmentâs efforts to transition the economy away from fossil fuels.
Well, no, says Alison Reeve, director of the Grattan Instituteâs energy program. Offshore wind does not exist in modelling before 2030 and in the Integrated System Plan produced last year by AEMO, which manages energy markets across Australia. In the years between 2030 and 2040, reliance on offshore is far less than on onshore.
Reeve believes any shortfall in the offshore industry can be made up by solar and onshore wind.
But this misses a crucial point, says Evans. Australia needs all the forms of renewables it can get its hands on, and to oppose a viable renewable industry on ideological grounds is to oppose jobs and investment.
Sceptics of offshore wind point out that it is far more expensive to build in the sea than on land, but Evans, also a key player in the Star of the South development off Gippsland, says offshore wind complements onshore projects because wind tends to blow at sea overnight and overland during the day. Together, they could provide something more like the base load power we are used to.
Besides, while the costs of developing floating wind farms in deepwater might be prohibitive, the waters off the coast of Gippsland are shallow and the winds strong and constant. Transmission lines already exist from coal plants that are slated to close with a workforce in place that is hungry for new jobs.
One renewables developer, who would not be named, said he worried that championing the legislation and regulations to allow for the creation of an unfeasibly expensive offshore industry in Australia had distracted Bowen from the more crucial existing technology and cost him valuable political capital, much as he admires the ministerâs effort.
Opponents to renewables, he says, are echoing Trumpâs language in Australia and using it to needlessly divide communities. âThe way they talk youâd think transmission lines were out there murdering children,â he says.
Loading
But that does not make him more optimistic about offshore wind. âItâs never going to get cheaper. It is all concrete and steel and labour. The sea is a brutal place to build.â
Bowen doesnât look like backing down.
Celebrating the awarding of two preliminary licences for companies to begin exploratory work in a WA offshore wind zone at a function in parliament this week, the minister noted that it was not just the sea that made construction difficult, but misinformation from political opponents in Australia and from what he diplomatically called âglobal headwindsâ.
But, Bowen said, âwe donât do these things because theyâre easy, we do these things because theyâre important.
âWhen youâre dealing with the biggest economic transition in the world, you donât follow a linear line on a graph.â
Get to the heart of whatâs happening with climate change and the environment. Sign up for our fortnightly Environment newsletter.