China has spent billions developing military tech. Conflict between India and Pakistan could be its first major test | CNN

The India-Pakistan Conflict: A Test for Chinese Military Technology

The recent conflict between India and Pakistan offers a unique opportunity to assess the effectiveness of Chinese military technology against established Western systems. Pakistan's claims of using Chinese-made J-10C fighter jets to shoot down Indian aircraft, including Rafales, have led to a surge in Chinese defense stocks.

China's Role as Arms Supplier

China is Pakistan's primary arms supplier, providing 81% of its imported weapons over the past five years (SIPRI data). This includes fighter jets, missiles, and air-defense systems, making any India-Pakistan conflict a significant test of Chinese military exports.

Geopolitical Implications

The conflict highlights the broader geopolitical realignment in the region, with China challenging American influence. India has strengthened ties with the US, while Pakistan has deepened its relationship with China, becoming a key player in the Belt and Road Initiative. This shift is reflected in their respective arms purchases, with India relying increasingly on Western suppliers and Pakistan on China.

Assessment of Military Capabilities

While Pakistan claims a victory, India has not acknowledged losses. The situation is further complicated by unconfirmed reports of losses on both sides, and varying analyses about the reasons behind any potential losses. The conflict offers valuable data on the capabilities of Chinese-made J-10C fighters versus French-made Rafales and other Western systems, and may influence future arms sales.

Impact on Global Arms Market

The outcomes, regardless of confirmation, are likely to significantly impact the global arms market. The perceived success of Chinese weaponry could boost its international appeal, particularly in markets previously dominated by Western or Russian suppliers. Conversely, any shortcomings could damage China's reputation as a reliable arms supplier.

Key Points:

• China's significant role as Pakistan's arms supplier.
• The potential implications of the conflict for assessing Chinese military technology's effectiveness.
• The broader geopolitical implications of the evolving relationship between India, Pakistan, China, and the US.
• The potential impact on global arms sales.
• Uncertainty regarding the actual military outcomes and assessments.