DAN HODGES: Hope you enjoyed your break, Sir Keir - you're about to walk into a political firestorm that will reignite Labour MPs' demands for a wealth tax | Daily Mail Online

Upcoming Political Firestorm

The article predicts a significant political backlash against Keir Starmer's Labour Party in the upcoming local elections. Labour MPs anticipate shocking results, particularly in traditionally Labour-held seats, due to a perceived betrayal of voters' expectations for change.

Starmer's Faltering Coalition

Starmer's initial success stemmed from a broad appeal across various demographics. However, his first year in office has alienated key factions: liberals criticize his approach to Trump, conservatives point to his economic policies, and working-class voters express anger over perceived attacks on vulnerable groups. A Labour backbencher summarizes the situation: the strategy that won them the election isn't sustainable, having upset various factions by attempting to appeal to everyone.

Key Areas of Conflict

• Immigration: A surge in Channel crossings has sparked internal discussions about revisiting the Human Rights Act and offshoring solutions, to overcome judicial hurdles.
• Economy: Concerns about a potential global recession driven by Trump's tariff wars are leading to demands for a wealth tax to offset potential austerity measures.
• Trump's State Visit: The proposed State visit of Trump is causing significant internal divisions, with many MPs believing it to be politically damaging.

Potential Outcomes

The article suggests a potential 'Stop Reform' tactical voting strategy to counter the surge of the Reform party. However, even with this strategy, significant losses for Labour are predicted, leading to a potential end to 'Starmerism'. The Prime Minister is urged to consider alternative strategies. The local elections will be a critical test for Kemi Badenoch and her ability to rebuild the Conservative Party.