Public opinion data reveals a substantial decline in Peter Dutton's support due to his perceived association with Donald Trump. A majority of Australians view Trump negatively, and this sentiment extends even to Coalition voters (58%).
Resolve Political Monitor data indicates 35% of undecided voters and 36% in marginal seats are less likely to vote for Dutton because of his perceived proximity to Trump. This contrasts with a smaller impact on Albanese (24% and 23% respectively).
Dutton's initial attempts to leverage his perceived ability to manage Trump initially showed promise, but turned into a liability as Trump's policies negatively affected the global economy. Specific actions cited include his appointment of Jacinta Nampijinpa Price, echoing Trump's appointment of Elon Musk, and his description of Trump as a “big thinker.”
In contrast, Albanese maintained a more cautious approach, mildly disagreeing with Trump's policies without overt praise.
While not the only factor, Trump's unpopularity significantly hinders Dutton's campaign, potentially shaping the outcome of the 2025 federal election.