How Israel plans to escalate its war on Hamas in Gaza - The Washington Post

Israel's Planned Escalation in Gaza

Following a two-month ceasefire, Israel is contemplating a significant escalation of its military operation in Gaza. This plan includes a possible ground invasion and occupation of the entire enclave, potentially lasting for months.

Key Aspects of the Plan

• Full-scale invasion: Deployment of up to five army divisions for a lengthy counterinsurgency effort.
• Control of humanitarian aid: Direct military oversight of aid distribution to prevent Hamas from profiting.
• Targeting civilian leadership: Expanding targets beyond military assets to include Hamas's civilian leadership.
• Evacuation of civilians: Relocating women, children, and vetted non-combatants to designated “humanitarian bubbles.”

These actions mark a departure from previous strategies, reflecting a shift towards more maximalist tactics. The plan aims to completely eradicate Hamas, but faces concerns regarding resource strain on the IDF and potential ethical implications.

Political and Military Dynamics

The decision to escalate is influenced by factors including the arrival of the Trump administration, changes in Israeli leadership, and the availability of sufficient munitions. A shift towards a more hawkish approach within the Israeli military establishment has also contributed.

Hamas's rejection of a ceasefire extension proposal, which included the release of hostages, is cited as a factor prompting the resumption of hostilities. Negotiations continue, but are now occurring under fire.

Concerns and Criticisms

Experts, citing historical precedents, express concerns about the feasibility and potential negative consequences of a long-term occupation. Some argue that such a move could undermine Israel's moral and ethical standing. The decision also carries high risks for Israel, mirroring past unsuccessful counterinsurgency efforts.