How the US threat to β€˜move on’ from peacemaking efforts in Ukraine could play out | CNN

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Potential US Actions

The US is considering two main responses to the stalled peace process in Ukraine. The first is to increase military aid to Ukraine, potentially bolstering their counteroffensive and pressuring Russia to negotiate. The second, a more drastic measure, is to withdraw US support entirely, leaving Ukraine and Europe to contend with Russia alone.

Consequences of US Disengagement

While US withdrawal might offer Russia more freedom to act, it won't necessarily guarantee victory. Continued fighting would likely increase casualties, social pressures within Russia, and strain the already weakened Russian economy. International sanctions are also unlikely to ease without a peace deal.

Current Status of Negotiations

Despite Secretary Rubio's suggestion to 'move on', the Trump administration hasn't completely abandoned peace talks. However, the window of opportunity for a diplomatic resolution is rapidly closing, as emphasized by the urgent tone of officials like Rubio. The Kremlin is also playing a waiting game, leaving the door open for negotiations should the need arise.

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