How Trump Can Save His Ukraine Policy

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Trump's Ukraine Policy: A Critical Analysis

This article critiques Donald Trump's handling of the Russia-Ukraine war, highlighting his tendency to assign blame to others instead of acknowledging his own role in the ongoing stalemate. It emphasizes the near impossibility of a comprehensive settlement acceptable to both Russia and Ukraine, given Putin's insistence on Ukraine's subjugation.

Obstacles to Peace

The article points out the irreconcilable differences between Russia and Ukraine's objectives. While Ukraine seeks territorial recovery and Euro-Atlantic integration, Russia demands demilitarization and denazification. These divergent goals make a comprehensive peace agreement unrealistic.

The author suggests that the most achievable outcome is an armistice, which would postpone major unresolved issues. However, even achieving a temporary ceasefire presents challenges due to Trump's past mistakes. These include suggesting Washington recognize Russia's annexation of Crimea, undermining the negotiation process.

Strategies for Lasting Peace

  • Increased Military Support: The author recommends an immediate increase in US military aid to Ukraine to demonstrate resolve and deter further Russian aggression.
  • Strengthening Sanctions: Tightened sanctions are proposed to further weaken Russia's capabilities and enhance its incentive to negotiate.
  • Avoiding Capitulation: The article warns against threats to withdraw from negotiations, as this signals weakness and emboldens Russia.

Long-Term Considerations

The article stresses that a lasting peace in Ukraine hinges not only on a ceasefire but on broader factors: Ukraine's internal stability, economic recovery, and continued Western support. This includes maintaining military cooperation, providing aid, and reinforcing Ukraine's democratic institutions.

Lessons from the Cold War

The author draws parallels between the current situation and the Cold War, highlighting how a combination of military strength, economic aid, and diplomatic efforts contributed to maintaining a protracted but ultimately peaceful coexistence in Europe. It argues that Trump needs to emulate the Cold War strategy of combining strength and diplomacy to pressure Russia into negotiations.

Conclusion

The article concludes by urging Trump to shift his perspective from viewing Ukraine as a short-term problem and Russia as a long-term opportunity to recognizing that addressing the immediate threat from Russia is crucial to achieving a lasting and meaningful peace in Ukraine.

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