How Trump’s presidency can be a colossal failure and stunning success all at once | CNN Politics

A Paradoxical Presidency

Donald Trump's second term presents a paradoxical situation: while conventional measures indicate significant failures marked by legal battles, errors, and unfulfilled ambition, his core supporters view his actions as successes. This is due to his focus on dismantling established governing structures, a key goal of his administration.

Potential Sources of Failure

Several factors could lead to the collapse of the Trump administration. These include a possible recession driven by his economic policies, national security crises exacerbated by his leadership, and erosion of support from moderate voters. However, his strong hold on his base might neutralize even major crises.

Potential Sources of Success (From Trump's Perspective)

Conversely, certain achievements could bolster Trump's claims of success, even amid considerable turmoil. Successful tariff negotiations, despite market disruptions, and a perceived improvement in national security could be seen as victories. The success of his agenda hinges on his ability to rally his base rather than achieve broad consensus.

Internal Conflicts and External Reactions

The article highlights multiple internal conflicts and external pressures faced by the administration:

• Pentagon disarray and controversy surrounding the Defense Secretary
• Economic consequences of trade wars and impact on global markets
• Mistakes leading to a legal battle over a deportation and a feud with Harvard
• Failed foreign policy initiatives, such as the Ukraine peace effort and strained relationships with key allies
• Legislative challenges, including the passage of his tax plan
• Dysfunction within the IRS and the consequences of massive funding cuts under Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency
• Legal challenges to his executive orders and actions.

Despite the negative consequences and criticism, the administration portrays these as triumphs, suggesting that the administration's focus is on gratifying its political base rather than governing for the entire country.

Conflicting Realities

The article concludes by emphasizing the deeply divided nature of the American public's perception of Trump's presidency, with a distinct lack of a shared reality concerning the administration's success or failure.