Nate Silver Makes Shocking Prediction for Dems’ 2028 Nominee

Key Prediction: AOC for 2028

Political analyst Nate Silver, along with Galen Druke, predicts Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) as the most likely Democratic presidential nominee in 2028. This prediction is based on several factors.

Factors Supporting the Prediction

• High Favorability Ratings: AOC possesses high favorability ratings among Democrats, second only to Vice President Kamala Harris, according to a recent Yale University poll.
• Strong Support Base: AOC enjoys fervent support within the Democratic Party.
• Active Political Engagement: Her "Fighting Oligarchy Tour" with Senator Bernie Sanders is seen as a potential indicator of presidential aspirations.

Silver's Past Accuracy

While Silver's past prediction of Kamala Harris winning the 2024 election proved incorrect, he accurately predicted a "clean sweep" victory for the winning candidate in the swing states.

Uncertainty Remains

It's important to note that Silver himself acknowledges AOC's candidacy is not certain, as she hasn't officially announced her intentions to run.