President Trump's foreign policy strategy, often described as a 'Reverse Kissinger' approach, aims to position the US as a power broker between Russia and China. This strategy involves pulling Russia away from China and creating three spheres of influence.
This gamble faces significant challenges. The article highlights concerns about the economic impact of Trump's tariffs, potentially harming US global market access. Geopolitically, many analysts believe that Russia and China's partnership remains strong, regardless of US efforts. The US may risk damaging its alliances in Europe and Asia due to uncertainty about US commitment to deterring Russian and Chinese influence.
The article underscores the close personal relationship between Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping, emphasizing that Trump's belief in his ability to control this dynamic is misguided. Both Putin and Xi perceive the US as a declining power and Trump as unpredictable. Experts warn against the illusion of easily dividing Russia and China, citing the historical context of Kissinger's opening to China in the 1970s.
Trump's pursuit of a three-way division of influence could leave US allies in Europe and Asia vulnerable. The article raises the possibility of America's commitment to nuclear deterrence weakening, potentially forcing allies to develop their own nuclear weapons or seek new alliances. The author points to examples like Japan and South Korea already engaging in trade talks with China in response to US tariffs.
In conclusion, the article argues that Trump's foreign policy is erratic and potentially disruptive, with a lack of consideration for long-term consequences and potential damage to US alliances. Russia and China are seen as adeptly utilizing Trump's unpredictable actions to their advantage in the global power dynamic.