Por qué Trump dio su brazo a torcer ante los mercados con su tregua en los aranceles | Internacional | EL PAÍS

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Trump's Trade War Truce

Donald Trump's aggressive trade war, imposing tariffs on numerous countries, led to a swift and severe market reaction. The sharp decline in US Treasury bond prices, stock market drops, and widespread criticism from investors and businesses forced Trump to reconsider his approach.

Market Pressure and Economic Fallout

The negative impact of Trump's tariffs became evident in falling stock markets, increasing concerns among businesses, and a significant decline in the value of US Treasury bonds. The escalating situation threatened a global economic recession.

  • Falling Stock Markets
  • Decreasing Value of US Treasury Bonds
  • Warnings of a global recession from investors and executives (e.g. Jamie Dimon of JP Morgan Chase, Bill Ackman).

Trump's initial dismissal of market concerns changed as the situation worsened. He eventually admitted to being influenced by the market reaction, describing the situation as “quite grim.”

The 90-Day Truce

Trump announced a 90-day truce in the trade war, temporarily reducing tariffs for most countries but maintaining and increasing those on China. While this decision was welcomed by markets, the initial euphoria masked the continued risk of economic damage from lingering trade restrictions.

China's Tariffs

Trump imposed increased tariffs on Chinese goods, escalating the conflict between the US and China.

Mixed Reactions and Uncertain Future

The sudden reversal in Trump's trade policy caused internal confusion. White House officials offered conflicting explanations, and the president's decision left his negotiating position weaker and future outcomes unclear. The 90-day truce doesn't guarantee a resolution and leaves uncertainty which harms economic investment and consumer confidence.

Trump's Rationale

Despite claims that his decision was part of a broader strategy, Trump admitted to being swayed by the pressure of the financial markets and the urgency to avert an impending economic crisis. He hinted at using his “instinct” to determine future tariff exemptions.

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