Vladimir Putin's primary concern is the potential backlash from returning soldiers after the Ukraine conflict. He anticipates widespread discontent and political instability due to veteran protests, economic hardship, and the psychological toll of war.
The article suggests that Trump's involvement, although seemingly aimed at peace, could inadvertently benefit Putin by potentially leading to Ukrainian capitulation and a weakened state. This would, however, cause resentment amongst Russian soldiers who perceive this as unfair.
Returning soldiers, some physically and mentally scarred, feel betrayed by the military leadership and the Kremlin. This resentment is not only directed at the perceived corruption and self-enrichment of high-ranking officials, but also at what they deem inadequate reward or recognition for their service.
The situation is further complicated by the impact of the war economy. Job losses associated with peacetime economics are anticipated to fuel further anger amongst returning veterans.
Putin's response to these concerns involves strengthening the FSB's counterintelligence wing to monitor and neutralize potential threats from within the military, and recruiting mercenaries from countries like North Korea and Central Asia to bolster Russian forces. This highlights his determination to maintain control despite growing internal pressures.
The article concludes by emphasizing the uncertainty surrounding Putin's future leadership and the escalating risks inherent in his approach to the ongoing conflict.