Starmer's winter fuel payment cut is coming back to haunt him on the doorstep

Key Issue: Winter Fuel Payment Cuts

The article centers on the impact of Labour's decision to cut winter fuel payments for most pensioners. This policy is seen as a major factor contributing to Labour's anticipated poor performance in the upcoming local elections.

Opposition Gains

Smaller parties like Reform UK, the Liberal Democrats, and the Greens are expected to make significant gains in the elections. Reform UK is particularly favored to win the Runcorn and Helsby by-election.

Labour's Concerns

Labour is bracing for a negative outcome, with the winter fuel payment cuts being cited as a key reason for voter dissatisfaction. The policy is reportedly a major talking point on the doorsteps of voters.

• Labour activists report the issue is raised during every canvassing interaction.
• Liberal Democrat canvassers similarly identify it as a significant factor in voter disillusionment.
• A Labour MP notes that the party has not earned the public's trust, and decisions such as cutting winter fuel payments have created the opposite effect.

Rise of Reform UK

The article highlights the potential surge of Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage. Labour MPs are closely monitoring Reform UK's activities, particularly given their lead in national opinion polls. A group of Labour MPs are actively discussing strategies to counter Reform UK's growth.

Government's Response

A Labour MP defends the government's actions, highlighting efforts to address local government needs following years of Tory underfunding. However, the overall tone suggests the winter fuel payment cuts are significantly harming Labour's electoral prospects.