The 2025 Canadian election is shaping up to be a closely contested race between the Liberal Party and the Conservative Party. The resignation of Justin Trudeau and the subsequent ascension of Mark Carney as Liberal leader led to snap elections.
The Trump presidency and its trade policies have significantly influenced the Canadian political landscape. Trump's tariffs on Canadian goods fueled a surge of Canadian patriotism and a desire to boycott American products. This nationalistic sentiment has boosted the Liberal Party's popularity.
Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has seen his initial lead dwindle. His policies, reminiscent of Trump's approach, have caused some voters to hesitate. He faces the challenge of appealing to a broad base of voters without alienating moderates.
The main contenders are Mark Carney (Liberal), Pierre Poilievre (Conservative), Yves-François Blanchet (Bloc Québécois), and Jagmeet Singh (New Democratic Party). While Blanchet and Singh hold influence, the race is primarily between Carney and Poilievre.
The next Canadian leader will face the complex task of navigating strained relations with the U.S. and addressing the legacy of Trudeau's foreign policy, particularly in Asia. Relations with India are likely to be a key focus for both major parties, though support for Khalistani groups from other parties could complicate this effort.