This is a shocker of an opinion poll for Fine Gael – The Irish Times

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Key Findings:

A recent Irish Times/Ipsos poll shows a significant shift in Irish political landscape. Fine Gael's support has dropped to 16%, a three-point decrease since November and five points below their general election result. This is their lowest rating in The Irish Times poll series since 1994. Conversely, Sinn Fein experienced a six-point jump, reaching 26% and securing the top position.

Fine Gael's Decline:

While Fine Gael's current polling is within their historical average (excluding post-leadership election boosts), the immediate political consequences are concerning. Tánaiste Simon Harris's approval rating also dropped significantly.

Sinn Fein's Rise:

Sinn Fein's rise is marked by a similar increase in Mary Lou McDonald's approval rating, though she remains the least popular among major party leaders. The party faces the challenge of converting soft support into firm votes for the next election.

Government's Position:

The coalition government faces a number of headwinds:

• Dissatisfaction with the return of Fianna Fail and Fine Gael to power.
• Low approval rating of the deal with Independents.
• Negative public opinion regarding Michael Lowry's role in forming the coalition.
• Overall voter dissatisfaction with the government sits at just over one-third.

The government's current low approval might be attributed to voters' lack of enthusiasm for other political options in the last election.

Economic Concerns:

The worsening economic outlook, due to potential trade war, further complicates the situation for the government.