Will Republicans Hold Onto Their Majority in the House? Here's What Internal Poll Says

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Key Findings of the NRCC Poll

The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) released a poll suggesting that House Republicans are well-positioned to retain and expand their majority in the 2026 midterm elections. The poll surveyed 46 Patriot and Frontline districts and found a more favorable political landscape than in 2017. This is partly attributed to the Democrats' currently low approval ratings, and voter dissatisfaction with their leadership.

Democrats' Struggles

The poll highlights the Democrats' extremely low approval ratings, with several polls showing record lows. This poor image is contributing to a shift in voters' preferences, according to the NRCC's internal poll.

The NRCC poll found that Republicans and Democrats are now tied (47%-47%) on the question of which party better represents voters' interests, signifying a significant improvement for Republicans since 2017.

Key Issues Driving Republican Advantage

  • Immigration: President Trump maintains a significant lead in voter preference on this issue.
  • Government Spending: A majority of voters view government spending as wasteful, aligning with the Republicans' emphasis on fiscal responsibility.
  • Economic Confidence: The poll indicates that a majority of voters rate their personal finances positively, under the current Republican leadership.

Fundraising and Momentum

The NRCC emphasizes their strong fundraising performance, exceeding Democrats in Q1, and their strategic targeting of vulnerable Democratic incumbents. This, combined with the current political climate, points to a significant path to victory for the Republicans in 2026.

Conclusion

The NRCC poll indicates a positive outlook for House Republicans in the 2026 midterms, bolstered by the Democrats' struggles and various factors including immigration, government spending, and voter confidence. While significant time remains until the next election, the present trends suggest a potential expansion of the Republican majority in the House.

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