Władimir Putin się przeliczył, a Donald Trump dał mu się wykorzystać. Ekspert: jeśli tak dalej pójdzie, Rosja przegra wojnę - Wiadomości

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Key Arguments

The article centers on an expert's analysis of the Russo-Ukrainian War, highlighting Putin's miscalculations and Trump's vulnerability to Russian manipulation. The expert believes that Russia's continued aggression, despite escalating costs and dwindling resources, will ultimately lead to its defeat.

Putin's Miscalculations

  • Unrealistic expectation of swift Ukrainian surrender.
  • Ignoring the effectiveness of Ukrainian drone warfare.
  • Overestimation of the Russian military's capabilities.

The expert points to Russia's ongoing recruitment efforts and increasing payments to mercenaries, though survival rates remain low. The stalemate in Donbas is emphasized, predicting a long war with no decisive breakthrough in sight. The expert dismisses the possibility of negotiation, arguing that granting concessions to Putin would reward aggression.

Trump's Role

The article criticizes Trump's approach, deeming his attempts to broker peace as ineffective and suggesting his reliance on uninformed advisors like Steve Witkoff demonstrates poor strategy. It highlights Trump's susceptibility to Putin's tactics and suggests his actions might be fueled by narcissism and a desire for historical recognition.

Potential Outcomes

The expert argues that any negotiation granting Russia territory would set a dangerous precedent, emboldening other nations with territorial claims. The potential impact on neutral countries like Switzerland is also highlighted, emphasizing the instability of a rule-breaking international order.

Expert's Conclusion

The expert concludes that continued military pressure, combined with disrupting Russian supply lines, is the most effective approach for Ukraine. Ultimately, Russia's potential defeat is underscored as the most likely outcome of the ongoing conflict, predicated on an analysis of the current military and political dynamics.

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